Treasury warns Crown’s strong balance sheet likely to decline if policy unchanged

Source: Radio New Zealand

State Services Commissioner Iain Rennie

Treasury secretary Iain Rennie. Photo: RNZ

The Treasury has warned the strength of the Crown’s balance sheet is likely to deteriorate if policy settings are not changed.

Its 2025 Investment Statement found liabilities were forecast to rise 33 percent by 2029 to $504 billion, as the debt grows to fund investment spending and operating deficits.

The increase in liabilities was also projected to outpace the increase in assets, with net worth expected to fall 10 percent to $172b.

As at June 2024, assets on the Crown’s balance sheet totalled $571b, and liabilities were $380b.

The ‘social’ portfolio spread $314b worth of assets across 141 entities such as transport, housing, education, and health.

$99b of assets were in the ‘commercial’ portfolio, which included “services related to strategic policy objectives, in a commercial manner,” such as Air New Zealand and the gentailers.

The ‘financial’ portfolio, which included entities like the Reserve Bank, ACC, and the Superannuation Fund, held $158b of assets, but also $280b of liabilities, accounting for 74 percent of the total.

The Treasury said there were ageing assets in the social portfolio that were becoming unfit for purpose, the commercial portfolio’s entities did not always meet performance expectations, and the financial portfolio held assets and liabilities facing different risks.

The balance sheet had more than doubled in size over the last decade, but assets and liabilities were projected to grow at a slower rate over the next ten years.

Since the last investment statement in 2022, assets had increased by 30 percent ($132b). Treasury said that was driven mainly by growth in physical assets, and more than half of that growth was down to revaluations, largely due to inflationary pressures.

Liabilities had increased by 35 percent ($98b), to fund investment and operating deficits.

Treasury secretary Iain Rennie said as demands on public services and investment had changed, the balance sheet had become increasingly important, and challenging to manage.

“The Investment Statement shows we need to improve our asset management – to get more value from existing investments, ensure we’re investing in the right assets, and improve our risk management and understanding.”

The Treasury suggested changes to balance sheet management in order to maintain New Zealand’s credit rating, and prepare the Crown for any shocks.

The suggestions are largely procedural, mostly focusing on “better” or “consistent” information and monitoring.

This included changes to decision-making processes, such as more consistent approaches to long-term planning across agencies, better business case development, and improving the information of assets, liabilities, and risks.

The Treasury also called for better asset management, saying some assets were underperforming, poorly maintained, and lacking quality information. It suggested more regular reviews of assets, clarifying the purpose of government ownership for each commercial entity, and adopting a more formal capital recycling programme.

“A formal capital recycling programme may be useful where government reallocates or reinvests capital from existing assets or infrastructure projects into new opportunities or projects to meet policy

objectives,” the report said.

“In this way assets that are no longer required or have limited ownership value are not retained. This can avoid the often increased operating and maintenance costs from ongoing ownership.”

The statement also said the Crown could manage the risks on its balance sheet better by centralising the management, and stress testing the combined fiscal balance sheet.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Briscoe Group confident, despite drop in third-quarter sporting sales

Source: Radio New Zealand

Briscoes and Rebel Sport

Briscoe Group owns Briscoes home goods and Rebel Sports. Photo: Hazel Redmond Photographer

Retailer Briscoe Group sales dropped in the third-quarter sales, as consumers pulled back spending on sports goods.

  • Total group Q3 sales $171.0m (-1.8%)
  • Homeware sales +1.8%, sports -7.3%
  • Group sales for nine months $542m (-0.7%)
  • Re-affirms full-year profit forecast of about $60m

Managing director Rod Duke said the three months ended September were a mixed trading environment, with consumers buying household staples, but cutting back on discretionary spending, like sporting goods.

Duke said the group, which owns Briscoes home goods and Rebel Sports, switched strategy in the third quarter, from discounting prices to make sales to earning more on lower volumes.

“With inventory in excellent shape at half-year, we made a strategic decision to shift focus from driving top-line sales to stabilising gross profit margin percentage,” he said.

That led to a fall in sales for the three months, but homeware sales grew by 1.8 percent and margins on sports goods improved markedly, despite lower volumes.

“Both segments have maintained the quality and level of inventory heading into our critical fourth quarter. The decision means homeware and sports goods are well placed for the festive season.”

He said he was satisfied with the group’s overall performance over the first three quarters, especially as consumer confidence remained low.

“With sales less than one percent behind last year, gross profit margin stabilised, inventory in great shape and transformative projects well progressed, we are well placed to maximise the final quarter.”

He hoped recent interest rate cuts would boost consumer confidence and lift spending in the key holiday season.

Briscoe Group maintained its full-year profit forecast of of about $60m.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Independent supermarket Plenty Foods hopes to challenge duopoly in Upper Hutt

Source: Radio New Zealand

Plenty Foods opened on Thursday, November 6.

Plenty Foods promises to employ 40 staff, mostly from the local community. Photo: Supplied by Plenty Foods

The owner of a new, independent Upper Hutt supermarket hopes he can offer locals an alternative to the big supermarket duopoly.

Plenty Foods supermarket opened in Brewtown on Thursday, the second Hutt Valley store in the portfolio of Wellington businessman Henry Hutcheon, who also owns Supersave in Naenae.

Despite a few technical issues, Hutcheon told Nine to Noon the opening went well.

“Unfortunately, the database we had errored out first thing in the morning, so we had to basically rebuild our entire database of all the products we had on the shelves – which takes a lot of time.”

Hutcheon said he would hire 40 staff to work at the store and he aimed to provide cheaper products for the community.

“We’ve hired most of our staff locally and we’ve got a lot of young people for the local workforce as well.

“We definitely will be working with community groups when they approach us – we will do everything in our power to make commodities cheaper and affordable for the locals.”

Hutcheon said he started working in the industry as a checkout operator in 2007, worked in supermarkets around the Wellington region, and he and his partner later bought the Supersave convenience store.

He said starting an independent supermarket was challenging the current market.

“There’s been some suppliers that have been willing to work really hard with us, there have been some that have taken a little bit of convincing and then there are some that have just proven to be very difficult,” Hutcheon said.

“I guess the bigger they are, the harder they are to deal with us – some of them have been quite disappointing.”

He said the supermarket aimed to stock “everything”, including a full produce department, butchery, bakery, fish cabinet, a hot cabinet with chickens and a cafe.

He had developed a pie with CJ’s Hangi, which the store would sell as well.

Upper Hutt mayor Peri Zee said it was great to see the supermarket stock local producers, including Dough Bakery products and The Pickery flowers.

“It’s awesome to see that they are using local businesses, which is beneficial to the local economy overall.”

She was encouraged to see a supermarket employing young people from the area and providing another option to compare prices.

“Having independently owned supermarkets is really helpful for that competition, because clearly, we have a competition problem in the supermarket sector.

“Having extra players come in is awesome and can be really helpful to reduce costs.”

Brewtown was a growing brewery precinct in Upper Hutt, she said, which had developed over the past few years to include a Sunday farmers’ market and event spaces.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Auckland BioSciences expands animal blood operation to Uruguay

Source: Radio New Zealand

Auckland BioScience’s new MonteSera facility in Parque de las Ciencias of Uruguay.

Auckland BioScience’s new MonteSera facility in Parque de las Ciencias of Uruguay. Photo: SUPPLIED/Auckland BioSciences

While animal blood might make some people squeamish, a New Zealand company putting it “to very good use” in the pharmaceutical industry is now expanding into South America.

Auckland BioSciences manufactures and exports animal-derived serum and plasma from mostly cattle and pig carcasses raised in Aotearoa. It is used in medical and life science research, including in the development of veterinary vaccines.

Serums are collected from animal blood, filtered, tested, and then used as a medium for cultivating viruses and cells to develop vaccines.

The firm has invested $4 million into the new sterile filtration site in partnership with major firm Montesera at Uruguay’s free-trade zone, Parque de las Ciencias – adding to its Tāmaki Makaurau home and another site in Brisbane.

In Uruguay, a team of a dozen staff will process and export South American-origin animal serum with capacity to filter up to 250,000 litres of animal blood each year.

Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard with Uruguayan president Yamandú Orsi in Uruguay.

Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard with Uruguayan president Yamandú Orsi in Uruguay. Photo: SUPPLIED/MP Andrew Hoggard

Its freezer will be able to store up to 70 tonnes of serums, worth about $10m in inventory.

Company director and chairperson Gary Paykel said it will be about five times the size of its Auckland site and provided more choices for its pharmaceutical customers.

“It will enhance our reputation worldwide and offer a choice. We can say to them, we can supply you from a country that’s free of mad cow disease, free of foot and mouth and we know that the product is of the highest quality, or we can supply you from our Australian plant or South American.”

He said the company had come a long way in the past 12 years from starting out of a container with carcass supplies coming from an Ōtāhuhu abattoir.

“Only New Zealand product here, cattle and pigs, we use quite a bit of porcine blood, that’s used amongst other things for human eye drops.

“So it’s really a resource that was not used at all or wasted, if you like. Now it’s being put to very good use.”

From left to right: Auckland Bioscience's Joyce Wang, William Gu, Daniel Maxwell, William Lee (also MonteSera) and Uruguay President Yamandú Orsí.

From left to right: Auckland Bioscience’s Joyce Wang, William Gu, Daniel Maxwell, William Lee (also MonteSera) and Uruguay President Yamandú Orsí. Photo: SUPPLIED/Auckland BioSciences

Paykel said it had a range of interested suppliers which it will assess for quality and supply chain.

Major beef producer South America produced about a quarter of the world’s beef, driven by Brazil.

Uruguay, a country of just under 3.4 million people, led efforts to improve traceability of cattle from farm to plate over the past few decades.

Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard, New Zealand Ambassador to Uruguay Kathryn Beckett, and Uruguay president Yamandú Orsí President were at the opening of the site in late October.

Hoggard said on Facebook, the plant was “the largest New Zealand investment in Uruguay”.

Paykel said New Zealand’s role in life sciences and biotechnology globally had grown in recent years.

“We are very much part of a global biotech infrastructure, New Zealand is playing a growing role in the whole life sciences industry, actually.”

Auckland BioSciences exports to 18 countries including the European Union, the United States, Japan, Brazil and India.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Government boosts film subsidies to stay a ‘serious contender’

Source: Radio New Zealand

Filming in Auckland

Nicola Willis said the country’s screen sector contributed $3.5 billion to the economy each year. Photo: HAYKIRDI/Getty Images/ATEED

The finance minister says New Zealand is at risk of missing out on film productions as international competition intensifies.

The government is expanding eligibility for the International Screen Production Rebate scheme to allow smaller budget productions and digital effects only projects to benefit from the rebate.

Nicola Willis said the country’s screen sector contributed $3.5 billion to the economy each year.

“These changes ensure New Zealand remains a serious contender in an increasingly competitive global screen industry.

“They will help diversify our screen economy, build stronger partnerships in growing markets across Asia and the Middle East, and keep Kiwi talent in steady work while attracting new investment, skills and technology.”

From January next year the minimum spend for productions eligible to access the scheme would be lowered from $15 million to $4m.

More mid-budget productions would be enabled to qualify for a 5 percent additional “uplift” – with that part of the rebate’s eligibility threshold lowered from $30m to $20m – and post-production, digital and visual effects only projects would now also be able to access the funding boost.

The rebates would be funded through the additional $577 million provided to the scheme in the last Budget, bringing its total funding to $1.09b.

Willis said the updates would empower the screen sector to attract a broader range of productions.

“Modern screen production is borderless and dynamic. By staying agile and globally connected, we can turn Kiwi creativity into competitive advantage – keeping New Zealand on the world stage and growing one of our most distinctive export industries.”

Finance Minister Nicola Willis at the announcement of the new Reserve Bank governor Dr Anna Breman.

Nicola Willis. Photo: RNZ / Mark Papalii

New Zealand Film Commission head of international attraction Philippa Mossman said changes to the rebate scheme would improve the position of the sector in an “intensely competitive” market.

New Zealand’s 20-25 percent rebate still lags behind other territories such as Australia (up to 40 percent), Ireland (32 percent), the UK (29 percent) and Canada (up to 29 percent).

Mossman said stronger rebates globally had seen fewer productions come to Aotearoa.

“We’re not at the top of the pack, and all over the world recently we’ve seen rebate rates increasing. It’s not a magic wand that will bring every single production in. We have to work hard to land every possible opportunity.”

She said the scheme had recently assisted productions such as Avatar: Fire and Ash, Minecraft, Spartacus: Chief of War and Predator: Badlands.

Mossman said the broader eligibility to the scheme would have flow-on benefits to tourism, hospitality and construction.

She said the move reinforced New Zealand’s reputation as a “creative powerhouse” in global film production.

A Screen NZ International survey in July revealed a sharp decline in productions and highlighted the need to improve the international competitiveness of the sector.

Vice chairperson Harry Harrison said the changes responded to the challenges facing the industry and acknowledged its contribution to the economy .

“Research has shown that every $1 of rebate investment generates more than $6 in economic return to New Zealand across Kiwi businesses, crew and creative professionals as well as tax payments back into the Government’s books.

“Kiwis make up over 82 percent of the workforce on these international productions, demonstrating the sector’s important role in employment and skills development,” Harrison said.

Actor Cliff Curtis said changes to the International Screen Production Rebate would make a real difference to the 34,000 people working in the country’s screen sector.

Curtis said people in industry were “heartened” to have the government listen to the sector’s pleas for greater support in the face of stiff international competition.

“These incentives are crucial. It means that we keep this connection with coming from where we come from and then going out into the big wide world and realising that we can lead. We’re not just in this race to survive we can actually lead our sector,” Curtis said.

He said the changes assisted the need to balance attracting international investment while also continuing to support local projects and story-telling.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Shareholders grill Spark over lacklustre run

Source: Radio New Zealand

BCFNZ chair Justine Smyth said the foundation had been asking for the breast screening age to be raised to 74 for the past eight years.

Chairperson Justine Smyth says she will step down as chairperson and board member within the next 12 months. Photo: Supplied / BCFNZ

Shareholders in telecommunications company Spark have grilled the board on its poor performance over the past couple of years.

Spark chairperson Justine Smyth told shareholders at the annual meeting the company was on track to deliver a flat underlying profit of just over a billion dollars in the year ending June 2026, which was little changed from the year earlier, assuming the 75 percent sale of its data centres went ahead.

Smyth also said she would step down as chairperson and board member within the next 12 months.

The company also laid out a strategy that renewed its focus on connectivity rather than an ambition to deliver broader digital services.

Chief executive Jolie Hodson said the telco had put in place a programme to drive mobile growth with new high data plans, brand campaigns and pricing.

“This is moving the dial and Spark remains the #1 mobile provider by some distance, with 41.4 percent total market revenue share,” Hodson said.

However, she said broadband remained competitive, with connections down 3.8 percent.

Hodson said the fresh strategy would see Spark partner with others to deliver key services, though it would retain control over all components of critical assets that deliver competitive advantage.

“Our new technology delivery model includes four key partnerships which allow us to leverage our partners’ global expertise and investments in AI and automation to deliver better customer experiences in a more efficient way,” Hodson said.

The transformation had resulted in $85m of savings in the second half of the June 2025 year.

“This ensures we are in a stronger position as we move into FY26 and embark on our new five-year strategy.

“After the first quarter of FY26, trading is tracking in line with our expectations, with the new brand campaign, iPhone launch, and price increases supporting mobile service revenue growth.”

She said a productivity programme was also on track, with significant savings delivered across labour and cost savings.

“Our focus over the next five years is on returning Spark to its history of stable performance, with predictable free cash flow and growing dividends over time.

“We have a proven track record of cost discipline and adapting our business when we need to, and portfolio management to support shareholder returns.

“The past couple of years have been incredibly challenging, and I acknowledge the impact this has had on our shareholders. We have taken decisive action to transform our business within this changing environment, and I am committed to seeing this through and returning Spark to growth,” Hodson said, as she offered herself for re-election to Spark’s board as executive director.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

The most expensive honey in the world has a ‘Taranaki tang’

Source: Radio New Zealand

The two litre jar is going for roughly $500,000. It contains some of the rarest manuka honey in the world.

The two litre jar is going for roughly $500,000. It contains some of the rarest mānuka honey in the world. Photo: Naki Honey/Supplied

A New Zealand company has created what’s believed to be the world’s most expensive honey.

The Eternal Gold collection by Taranaki-based Naki Honey was inspired by archaeologists’ discovery of 3000-year-old honey sealed in Egyptian tombs that was still pefectly edible.

Just 73 jars have been produced, using honey from remote Taranaki bush. The honey is designed to last for centuries.

The Eternal Gold collection by Taranaki-based Naki Honey was inspired by archaeologists' discovery of 3,000-year-old honey sealed in Egyptian tombs that was still perfectly edible. This one goes for $1000.

The collection was inspired by archaeologists’ discovery of 3000-year-old honey sealed in Egyptian tombs. This jar goes for $1000. Photo: Naki Honey/Supplied

It uses Unique Mānuka Factor (UMF) 25+ honey, a grade so rare it’s only harvested when the weather and flowering conditions in Taranaki are just right which is about once every two years.

It’s also among the highest-grade mānuka in the world.

Naki Honey’s Derek Burchell-Burger said the handcrafted vessels doubled as art pieces and featured gold plated details.

Prices range depending on size with the smallest going for $1000 and a two litre jar going for roughly $500,000.

“Every two years, we get to develop a particularly potent strand of mānuka honey. So this is the first one ever, the inaugural range, and we’ve got three tiers available.

“It’s not just a jar of honey. We’re also doing our foray into art.

Naki Honey's Derek Burchell-Burger

Naki Honey’s Derek Burchell-Burger Photo: Naki Honey/Supplied

“It can be passed down the generations because it’s got amounts of that immunopotentiating chemical known as methylglyoxal in it.

“It does have a more stronger taste. It is a bit more herbal. We call it the Taranaki tang.”

Burchell-Burger said it was not designed to be used like regular honey a person would have on their morning toast, but similar to a whiskey collection that might be brought out for a special occasion.

The unveiling of the honey collection is taking place at the New Zealand Liberation Museum – Te Arawhata in northern France which is the only Kiwi museum outside Aotearoa.

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Why is Augustine being sold at The Outlet?

Source: Radio New Zealand

Augustine has become one of New Zealand Facebook's favourite fashion brands, known for its bright, floral and sparkly pieces.

Augustine has become one of New Zealand Facebook’s favourite fashion brands, known for its bright, floral and sparkly pieces. Photo: Supplied / Augustine

Over the past decade, Augustine has become one of New Zealand Facebook’s favourite fashion brands.

At regular intervals through the year, founder Kelly Coe would hype up and release one of the seasonal releases from its labels and thousands of women across the country would clamour to get their hands on the (usually) bright, (frequently) floral and (often) sparkly pieces.

Prices would range generally from about $100 to $200.

While the VIP Facebook group still has more than 20,000 members, the clamour has died down – and many were surprised to spot Augustine and its associated brands being stocked by discount retailer The Outlet in recent weeks, with prices starting at about $20.

So what’s going on, and why would the brand do this?

Retail consultant Chris Wilkinson said it was “very telling” of where the market was and had generated a lot of interest.

He said while Augustine had been a “darling” brand that was at times “euphoric”, particularly among its social media following, the move was reflective of the fact that there had been a slowdown in demand for its type of product. It closed its Takapuna shop.

“She’s got a very unique brand and culture that sits behind it… the way things are has been very challenging.”

He said The Outlet’s main focus was on selling distressed or overstocked items.

An Augustine top listed on The Outlet.

An Augustine top listed on The Outlet. Photo: Supplied / The Outlet

Stock such as the Augustine clothing could bring in different audiences who would not typically shop there, he said.

Something similar would sometimes happen at Reduced to Clear, he said, when it stocked mixers such as specialty tonic water much more cheaply than they would normally be available for.

There could be an effect on the brand, he said, but brands sometimes had a limited lifespan anyway. Huffer had been picked up by The Warehouse.

The Outlet is stocking a “Siri” dress for $19 while it is on the Augustine site for $49.99, albeit with a different colour skirt.

Bodo Lang, marketing expert at Massey University, said that could be an issue. “Selling identical products at very different prices can create serious problems for brands, as it risks alienating both consumers and retailers. Both are crucial for a brand’s survival. After all, no one likes discovering they have paid more than someone else for the same item.”

He said there was a risk to the brand.

“First, the discounts are substantial, often around 50 percent or slightly higher. Second, they apply to a wide range of garments, more than 150 in total, rather than a small, carefully selected few. Third, these discounted items are very easy to find online. Fourth, while Augustine’s own website states that its garments are available at two outlet stores, The Outlet website appears to list heavily discounted Augustine garments across far more than two stores – in fact, across most of New Zealand. This inconsistency poses a problem, as the availability of discounted products on The Outlet website does not align with the brand story presented on Augustine’s site.

“Collectively, these factors risk cheapening the brand. Deep and widespread discounts can make it harder to sell new-season items at full price, as customers learn that prices are likely to drop significantly within a few months. In addition, lower prices can attract a different clientele, and in fashion, social signalling is a powerful part of what consumers are really buying.”

Public relations consultant Chamanthie Sinhalage-Fonseka said there were other strong names selling via The Outlet who did it without cheapening their brand, such as Adidas and Birkenstock.

“But they are a different category from Augustine and their brand equity is created offshore. Brands also surf waves of consumer preferences and changing economic conditions in order to stay alive.

“Marc Jacobs has fallen in terms of designer prestige but as a result is more accessible to mid-range customers and can position themselves as top of mid-range rather than bottom of luxury.”

Augustine has been approached for comment.

Sign up for Money with Susan Edmunds, a weekly newsletter covering all the things that affect how we make, spend and invest money.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

Sharemarket concern: ‘If it keeps building and building, it’ll blow’

Source: Radio New Zealand

Sharemarket, stockmarket generic

Despite warnings of a potential crash due to inflated AI share prices, markets around the world continue to hit records. Photo: 123RF

It would be good for markets to go through a small correction to avoid a bigger explosion, one fund manager says.

Despite warnings of a potential crash due to inflated AI share prices, markets around the world continue to hit records.

Murray Harris, head of KiwiSaver at Milford Asset Management, said it was a worry.

“The market is being buoyed by continuing prospects for lower interest rates… and companies that are doing well.

“There’s not a lot of reason for people to be thinking ‘oh this is going to end’ other than the professional investors like ourselves going ‘well this can’t last forever’.”

He said as prices pushed up, it would be useful to have occasional 10 to 15 percent falls.

“It would be healthy to have a bit of a pullback on markets and think of it like a pressure cooker. If it keeps building and building and building it’ll blow but if it lets off a little bit of steam, then we get a 10 percent or 15 percent pull back then the market can move higher again.”

But Rupert Carlyon, founder of Koura Wealth, said when adjusted for inflation the increases recorded did not look so dramatic.

“Over the last five or six years inflation has been about 35 percent so even a market that is up 35 percent today is basically where it was five years ago.”

He said even the big companies that seemed highly valued were strong on growth and return-on-equity measures. “I personally do not believe there has ever been a set of companies as strong in delivering the growth numbers that currently we have.”

He said there had been many warnings over the past five years that a market rally was unsustainable.

“We saw it when interest rates started going up, we saw it with the tech bubble kind of starting to burst a bit… every time it’s been proven wrong.”

What can investors do?

Harris said although the market felt “frothy” it was not a reason not to be invested.

“As an active manager, we can take protection through derivatives and we can move cash around and we’re doing that, and can look for opportunities outside the really highly inflated industries and assets. It kind of feels like it can’t keep going on forever, and it won’t.”

Some investors have moved money into assets such as gold. Harris said when he was in Sydney last week there was a line around the corner for a bullion dealer.

“That to me is a sign of a bubble, but it doesn’t mean the price can’t continue to go up… it does well when there is high inflation and a bit of geopolitical uncertainty because people go ‘well I have this physical thing and I can put it under my bed’, but at the end of the day it doesn’t generate any dividends or revenue or profits or income. You’re totally reliant on the person you sell it to being willing to pay more for it than you paid.”

He said people who were investing for the long term should look through the market movements.

“If you’ve got a 10-year view, we’ll see some sort of pullback at some point but if your goal hasn’t changed, your risk profile’s the same, then you stick with it.”

He said the market buoyancy seemed to be prompting a large number of transfers between KiwiSaver providers. “I think, with the confidence that people are getting from markets going up and their values going up and their balances getting bigger, they’re thinking ‘maybe I should do some more research’.”

Falling interest rates had also prompted people to move from term deposits to managed funds, he said.

Harris said he had seen a lot of money flow out of bank deposit into retail unit trust funds.

“We’ve seen record levels of flows into those from people that have taken money out of term deposits. That’s a sign that markets are at a toppy level.”

He said people need to understand the additional risk that came with investing in funds.

“We explain this to everyone who is investing with us, they could go down. You could be buying at a high point in the market. This is not going go be like your term deposit, that’s just going to keep your capital and give you a return.”

Carlyon said investors should try to ignore the noise. “Over the last five or six years there’s been a huge amount of negativity in the press. There is a lot of people that don’t like and don’t want to believe the current market rally… what we’ve seen is the only smart way to be invested is to stay invested.”

Do passive investments exacerbate the market movements?

Mike Taylor, founder of Pie Funds, said there was the potential for exchange-traded funds to exacerbate any potential fall.

There has been a big increase in passively invested funds in recent years, which aim to replicate a market index rather than outperforming.

“The interaction between an ETF and the underlying market can work a bit like the futures market and the cash market,” Taylor said.

“When volatility rises, usually to the downside, outflows from ETFs then lead to lower underlying stock prices, which then lead to more outflows.

“If we had a period when prices fall rapidly this could be problematic, particularly when you consider leveraged ETFs.”

Harris said an index fund had no option but to buy the expensive AI stocks.

“The weighting of those companies goes up every day in the index and they’ve got to buy more. But similarly they’ll have to sell more when the markets drop.”

He agreed leveraged ETFs could have an even bigger impact.

“When the market’s gone up it has to buy four or five times the exposure of the market… If the price is down it has to sell four or five times the value of the stock it’s holding. That could have some quite big moves.”

Dean Anderson, founder of Kernel, said the question was not whether money was actively or passively managed but whether there was new money coming into or out of equities.

“If it is net new buying demand into equities, that say previously has been in term deposits or cash, whether that goes into direct stocks, active, or passive funds – it is ultimately net buying power for equities which would support higher prices. The same is true in reverse.

“The active manager may argue they don’t have to buy or sell stocks when cash goes into or out of the fund – but in practice that isn’t the case. If they had a lot of withdrawals, they will be a seller, equally if they get a lot of applications they will have to buy as they risk having their performance lag if they sit on too much cash for too long.”

Carlyon said retail investors were also more likely to follow trends. They have become a much more dominant force in recent years.

“When I started my career a market move of 1 percent or 1.5 percent in a day was kind of unusual, whereas we’ve seen two or three days this week which have been over that number.”

Sign up for Money with Susan Edmunds, a weekly newsletter covering all the things that affect how we make, spend and invest money.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

New weight restrictions for larger pets taking domestic Air New Zealand flights

Source: Radio New Zealand

Pet carrier

Air NZ staff have been getting injured while trying to load heavier pets. (File photo) Photo: pixabay.com

Larger pets have been grounded on some of Air New Zealand’s domestic flights after a spate of injuries to staff as they try to load heavy carriers into aircraft holds.

Air New Zealand has introduced new size and weight restrictions for carriers on its smaller domestic flights. From next week, pets and carriers weighing more than a combined 60 kilograms will be grounded.

The changes had to be made for the safety of staff, Air NZ’s chief safety and integrity officer Nathan McGraw told Morning Report.

“Its a bit of a tough call… [we] appreciate this will be disappointing. It’s fair to say the number of larger pets is smaller in number.”

McGraw said there had been more than 50 injuries to staff in the past couple of years from loading large and bulky items into smaller aircraft holds.

“When you’re loading these carriers into confined spaces there’s a lot of moving, positioning and tilting – particularly if there’s a large animal inside that may move and shift which creates a risk of injury to our people and to the wellbeing of the pet.”

For anyone wanting to travel with an animal and carrier that weighed more than 60kg, McGraw said it was still possible, but they would need to go through a pet transport company.

“They work closely with our team,” he said, “and you can add the pet as you did in the past to your ticket, but it takes you through to those options.

“For a jet service we can carry those larger crates but through those transport companies.”

Sign up for Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, a daily newsletter curated by our editors and delivered straight to your inbox every weekday.

– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand