How much less than asking price are house buyers paying?

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / Samuel Rillstone

If you’re in the market for a new house, you might be wondering what to offer on any you’re interested in.

Do you offer the asking price? Try to cut 10 percent off? How hard do you negotiate?

As new data from Realestate.co.nz shows a 1.5 percent dip in average asking price in January, Cotality has confirmed that the gap between what sellers are asking and buyers are willing to pay appears to be shrinking.

Chief economist Kelvin Davidson said, excluding auctions, the median discount that buyers paid on the original list price of properties sold in 2025 was 3.8 percent.

It was 4.2 percent in 2024, 4.6 percent in 2023, 5.1 percent in 2022 and 2.9 percent in 2021.

Gisborne had the biggest discount, at 5.9 percent. That was followed by Northland at 5.5 percent and the West Coast at 5 percent. Taranaki had the smallest, at 3.1 percent.

Davidson said that could be affected by sellers in Taranaki setting more reasonable asking prices to start with.

“In some ways it’s a marketing tool. You’re never quite sure if someone is just hoping for too much of whether they’re actually setting a reasonable asking price or what their true motivations might be.

“Over time the availability of information to both sellers and buyers has widened. Any time, anybody can look up a free valuation estimate or you could come to Cotality, for example, and pay for a higher grade one but either way that information is widely available. It suggests that the chances vendors can sneak an above-market asking price in there have probably reduced because everybody’s got the same information and they are going to know what’ s unrealistic.

“I guess it applies to buyers as well …the chances putting in a sneaky 10 percent under offer and getting it accepted are also reduced because maybe asking prices are more realistic to start with.

“The scope for an excessive price is probably reduced but at the same time the scope for buyers to get a sneaky deal is probably reduced.”

The data does not include properties that went to auction.

Property prices have been broadly flat in recent years even as vendor discounts have reduced, suggesting it is sellers who have shifted their expectations.

“The longer the flat patch goes on the more people are saying ‘I just want to get this done I’ll set a more reasonable asking price’,” Davidson said.

“I think if you’re a market watcher, maybe you’ve been thinking about selling, maybe you held back because you thought ‘oh the market might pick up I’ll wait’. Now you might not necessarily be… you have to sell at some point. I think in general the fact those discounts have been slowly trending down suggests people are just being a bit more realistic than they might have been a few years ago.”

Realestate.co.nz said national stock levels rose 2.3 percent year-on-year in January, the first time the number of available properties for sale hit more than 33,000 in January since 2014.

Gisborne led the pack, with a 15.1 percent increase in available stock.

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Emergency crews rush to reports of small plane crash at Napier Airport

Source: Radio New Zealand

RNZ / Nate McKinnon

Fire and Emergency have rushed to reports of a small plane crash at Napier Airport.

Hato Hone St John was notified of an incident on Main North Road, Napier Airport, about 10am on Tuesday.

Two ambulances and one helicopter responded, but have since been stood down, a spokesperson said.

Police told RNZ “the plane had landed safely”, but referred all other questions to FENZ.

More to come…

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Labour leader Chris Hipkins sets signts on Māori seats

Source: Radio New Zealand

Labour leader Chris Hipkins. VNP / Phil Smith

Labour leader Chris Hipkins has reiterated his determination to win all the Māori seats in November’s election, as parties gather at Waitangi.

He told Morning Report that candidate elections were underway for Labour.

“I’ve been very clear that we want to do very well there.”

Asked about Te Pāti Māori which currently holds all seven seats, Hipkins said “they need to sort themselves out”.

“They’re in court and that’s really where their focus should be.

“In the meantime, we’re going to be busy organising in the Māori seats to win them back.”

The party was involved this week in a substantive hearing at the High Court in Wellington after a two of its MPs, Mariameno Kapa-Kingi and Tākuta Ferris, were expelled.

Kapa-Kingi’s lawyers are arguing Te Pāti Māori’s constitution was not upheld during the process.

Hipkins told RNZ his message at Waitangi would be the same as elsewhere – that the country is stronger when people identify areas of common interest, work together and move forward.

In contrast to his stance on Te Pāti Māori, Labour is aiming to project a united front with the Greens at Waitangi with a joint press conference at the Treaty Grounds aimed to demonstrate working together despite policy differences.

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Italian restaurant in Petone closes doors after 20 years

Source: Radio New Zealand

Soprano on Jackson Street. Supplied/Google Maps Street View

A Petone Italian restaurant is being sold after nearly 20 years, following an “incredibly tough” few years for the hospitality industry.

The owners of Soprano on Jackson Street, Latisha and Jonathan Dowling, posted on Facebook that the decision had not come lightly.

“As heartbreaking as it is to share this news, we wanted to share with you that we have made the choice to close/sell Soprano so we can spend more time with our families and step into a new chapter,” they said.

“Hospitality has given us so much in the last two decades, but the last few years – especially COVID – were incredibly tough. Like MANY in our industry, we poured everything we had into keeping the doors open, the lights on and our people cared for.”

Now was the right time to embark on something new, the couple said, adding that the restaurant was woven into their life story.

“It’s where we first met, worked side by side with the previous owner, fell in love, got married, and went on to have our three beautiful children.

“Today, our journey has come full circle, with our eldest now 14 and working the floor – something that fills us with more pride than words can say.”

The Dowlings thanked their customers who they said were part of their family.

The owners are now taking expressions of interest from prospective buyers.

Their last day of business, if not sold prior, will be 31 March.

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Did you miss the best time to lock in a longer home loan rate?

Source: Radio New Zealand

BNZ has increased some of its longer-term home loan fixed rates. RNZ / Marika Khabazi

BNZ has increased some of its longer-term home loan fixed rates, prompting one economist to say that in hindsight, late last year was borrowers’ best option to lock in a longer rate.

It has cut its six-month rate by 20 basis points to 4.49 percent.

But the four-year rate lifts by 26 basis points to 5.55 percent and the five-year by 40 basis points to 5.69 percent.

“The increases bring their rates to roughly where everyone else has moved to over the last couple of weeks,” said Infometrics chief executive Brad Olsen.

“I think pressure is starting to come on a little bit more when it comes to funding rates, given that if you look at two- to five-year swap rates, they have increased by about 20 basis points again between the end of December and the end of January. There’s probably anelement of trying to wait as long as possible but the realities for bank funding have now become more apparent.”

He said the cashback promotions seen in the past couple of months proved banks wanted to be competitive.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if there was a little bit of a pause until you get a better read at the end of the month when the Reserve Bank makes the decision about the official cash rate. Because at that point, you’ll have a bit of a stronger view of what’s the likely path forward.”

He said it was likely that the talk at the end of last year about whether it was the right time to fix for five had probably proved to be correct. “That’s always the beauty of hindsight, right?”

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What should New Zealand do in the new world order?

Source: Radio New Zealand

US President Donald Trump at the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on January 22, 2026. AFP MANDEL NGAN

There’s a rupture in the international rules-based order, but that doesn’t mean New Zealand will be crushed by bigger powers

New Zealand has been a beneficiary of the international rules-based order for decades – trade disputes, action on serious issues, being heard on the world stage; there was a world body to give us a hand sorting stuff out.

While there have been inconsistencies, hypocrisy from superpowers, and the system hasn’t been perfect, it has, generally, worked for us.

But Russia and America between them have shaken up the system, and in a remarkable speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney laid it all out.

“I thought this might be the most important political speech on geo-politics for many a long year,” says Tim Groser, a former diplomat; once New Zealand’s chief trade negotiator; ambassador, including to the United States and the World Trade Organisation; and a National government Minister of Trade.

He says the key message of the speech was to acknowledge the reality that we are seeing a rupture of the rules-based system.

“It’s not just the United States. It is also the invasion back in 2014 of Crimea by Russia, to break the most important norm of the post-war order in Europe, which is, do not try and change sovereign frontiers with force.

“This has been the most important issue facing Europe now for at least 500 years, and was the cause of three wars … the Franco-Prussian war, and the two world wars.

“So it’s not just the United States. The order that we lived in from 1945 to, I think around 2010, was quite remarkable in so many respects, and almost perfect for a small country like New Zealand.”

Mark Carney’s speech spelt out how the ‘middle powers’ such as Canada, Japan and Australia need to act together, “because if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu”.

New Zealand is not a middle power, but not helpless either, says Groser.

“Some New Zealanders vastly exaggerate our influence. They seem to think that the whole eyes of the world are watching every move that we make and if we only do the right thing everyone else will think ‘oh my goodness me, we must do what the Kiwis are doing’. This is a fantasy.

“But the more common fantasy is to understate our significance.

“Of course we are a small country. But in terms of GDP measured in conventional terms, we’re the 52nd largest economy in the world in relative terms. Which means since there are over 200 sovereign countries in the world, there are 150 countries smaller than New Zealand.”

New Zealand has also had historic developments to help us cope with these world changes, when in the 1950s Britain joined the European union and our main trading partnership evaporated. It forced us to diversify our markets. Groser says Canada needs to do the same now.

Canadian journalist Jayme Poisson, who hosts the CBC’s Front Burner podcast, says Carney’s speech has landed well in Canada with those who like the idea of being a middle power with power.

But there’s a debate going on in the wake of Carney’s speech over how realistic that strategy actually is.

“Because at the end of the day, we share this massive land border with the United States. We send 70 percent of our exports to the United States. So we’re not just like some random middle power. We are the middle power right next door to the hegemon and we are inextricably tied to them for security and economics … so you can see why people are debating here how much our role is to not rupture our relationship with the United States, and how much our role is to lead this pack of middle powers to do something more ambitious.”

Carney, she says, is “good at bluntly describing reality in a pretty sophisticated way. He was one of the first leaders to come out and say the world has changed … and our relationship with the United States is not what it was before.”

The speech has been criticised for Carney poking the bear when he didn’t have to, and when up until now he’s kept his head down.

But it’s possible Carney has just displayed the kind of strength and leadership that the US President so admires.

“They just spoke,” she says, “and Carney has reported that it was a fine conversation. And while we did see this response from the Americans – you know, mockery, you can’t live without the United States, and threat of a 100 percent tariff floated if we get close to China, that has not come to fruition. It’s just kind of subsided. So certainly that’s a pretty good argument to make – that he likes strength, he likes winners. And that he’s so mercurial that you might as well just stand up to him anyway, because you don’t really know what he’s going to do, day to day.”

Poisson says there’s a lot of anti-American sentiment in Canada right now and Carney’s remarks resonated. His approval rating rose eight points in the wake of the Davos speech, and is currently up at 60 percent.

“I think everybody [in Canada] thought this was a good speech,” she says. “I think the critiques are … was it smart? And is it going to come with consequences, and are those consequences worth it?”

Listen to the podcast to find out why Tim Groser isn’t entirely pessimistic about international developments, and why a rupture doesn’t mean collapse.

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Spin remains the focus for Black Caps ahead of World Cup

Source: Radio New Zealand

Ish Sodhi during New Zealand Blackcaps training Andrew Cornaga/www.photosport.nz

It is no surprise that spin has been the feature of the Black Caps training sessions this week as they prepare for their opening game of the T20 World Cup.

Coming off a 4-1 loss to India in the recent T20 series, the New Zealand team moved to Navi Mumbai to continue their build-up for their World Cup clash with Afghanistan on Sunday.

Leg spinner Ish Sodhi was one of five slow bowling options in the New Zealand squad and he was likely to see action during the tournament.

The 33-year-old had played 137 T20 internationals since making his debut in 2014 and in this tournament he could become New Zealand’s most successful bowler in the format.

He sits on 162 scalps, just two behind Tim Southee.

Sodhi, who was the number one ranked T20 bowler in 2018, said they had taken a number of lessons from the recent India series.

“They (India) were amazing in their own home conditions,” Sodhi said.

“The wickets were really flat and the boundaries small and it might be a similar diet to what we have in this World Cup and so it was great for us to be exposed to those conditions.

“If we can maintain the intensity that we played that series in then hopefully it holds us in good stead for the tournament.”

New Zealand bowler Ish Sodhi. Andrew Cornaga / www.photosport.nz / Photosport Ltd 2025

Ten years ago Sodhi and fellow spinner Mitchell Santner made their T20 World Cup debuts in India. They both featured as two of the tournaments leading wicket-takers by taking ten each with Santner named in the tournament team.

With so much cricket played in India now, all the New Zealand players are familiar with conditions in the sub-continent and what to expect.

“At training today the boys wanted to face spinners and see what their boundary and single options were so it was really cool that everyone is training specifically for that.”

However, Sodhi said it was important that they remain adaptable.

New Zealand play the USA in a World Cup warmup game on Friday morning.

“They’re a niggly team with plenty of experience,” Sodhi said of the USA.

“Because they play in the MLC (Major League Cricket T20 competition) they’re exposed to some really high quality cricket.”

That game will again provide some valuable information on the local conditions ahead of their tournament opener against Afghanistan in Chennai on Sunday.

New Zealand and Afghanistan have only met each other twice in T20’s.

The Black Caps beat Afghanistan at the 2021 T20 World Cup, but were beaten by them at the 2024 tournament in the West Indies.

Afghanistan beat Scotland by 61 runs in a World Cup warmup game on Monday.

Black Caps T20 World Cup schedule

  • 8 February: 6.30pm v Afghanistan, Chennai
  • 10 February: 10.30pm v UAE, Chennai
  • 15 February: 2.30am v South Africa, Ahmedabad
  • 17 February: 6.30pm v Canada, Chennai

The top two teams from the four groups advance to the Super 8 stage where they will be placed into two groups of four teams each, and will play three matches against one another. The top two teams in each group will advance to the knockout (semi-final) stage.

The final was scheduled for March 9.

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Stan Walker: ‘There’s a lot of chaos that’s happening

Source: Radio New Zealand

Stan Walker and rapper Nauti have joined forces with legendary US producer 9th Wonder — who has worked with the likes of Jay-Z and Mary J. Blige — to create ‘One Life’, a new single rooted in healing and unity.

The collaboration came together during an APRA songwriting camp, where the trio linked up with producer Bharu, as they bonded over culture and heritage.

“We just started talking about our lives and our stories and where we come from and our backgrounds for hours and then, bam, the song just happened real quick,” Walker told Afternoons.

This video is hosted on Youtube.

Stan Walker’s ‘heavy prep’ for a big summer ahead

With the spark ignited, they came up with the tune and first lyrics: ‘hey brother, hey sister.’

“We just started going off that and that was the theme, is just to bring people together.”

Nauti echoes that sense of organic connection.

“We didn’t know what we were going to be writing about,” Nauti told Afternoons. “It just started off as a conversation about our culture.

“When I heard about [Stan Walker] going to Haiti and helping with the earthquake relief, that’s where my family’s from, in the Caribbean, so we were already on the same page.”

Walker travelled to Haiti in 2010, just weeks after a devastating magnitude-7 earthquake displaced tens of thousands and claimed countless lives. The experience left a lasting mark.

“It was insane… we were just gobsmacked from the moment we got out of the airport,” Walker says. “We kind of had our own places to eat and stay and stuff like that, and oh, I felt so sick to my stomach, because we were going to eat, and just watching people bathe and drink out of dirty puddles.”

For Nauti, who has been writing raps since he was 16 and landed his first major gig opening for iconic US hip-hop duo Mobb Deep, the session wasn’t about securing a spot on the track.

“9th Wonder said the biggest ego in the room is the music, so I wasn’t trying to get a placement or anything. I was just like, can we make music for the people? I want to heal and just bring everyone together … it just happened so fast, you know, it was pretty effortless.”

The song, he says, is “good for the soul”.

“The music industry’s hard, you know, if you’re young, trying to come up, it ain’t easy. There’s heaps of politics. There’s just all types of things going on.”

Walker sees ‘One Life’ as a reminder of what connects us.

“To remind people, regardless of where you come from, what your background, what your beliefs, at the end of the day, we all bleed the same.

“There’s a lot of chaos that’s happening, not just here in Aotearoa, but all around the world. People are living in fear, and people are divided.

“I feel like it’s my responsibility as an artist, and I take it on very heavy, that my job is to bring hope, life, healing, and joy to people.”

“No matter the skin colour, the class system, we’re all one,” Nauti adds.

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Auckland Council looks at rule change to avoid flood buyout costs

Source: Radio New Zealand

A flooded house in Auckland in 2023. RNZ / Cole Eastham-Farrelly

There are 13 Auckland homes at risk of future flooding or landslides that could cost the region’s council an extra $14 million to buyout – a cost it is seeking to avoid with a policy change.

Auckland Council wants to increase the amount it can spend on retaining walls and lifting homes to make them safe – a move it said would be more cost effective than writing them off.

The houses were eligible for a buyout because the cost of building works was over and above the scheme’s agreed funding but that would leave council with a hefty bill.

It was one example of homes still in limbo three years on from the devastating storms in 2023, while close to 1200 with intolerable risk to life had been bought out.

On Tuesday councillors would discuss a report by council’s head of strategy and integration Tanya Stocks and recovery specialist Megan Howell recommending an 11th hour policy change to the scheme.

The change related to homes in the risk category 2P, of which 75 were in the early stage of having building works costed out in order to reduce risk to a “tolerable level”.

“Thirteen of the remaining 2P properties may exceed the grant threshold of 25 percent of the capital value of the property,” the reporter writers said.

“If this occurs, the Category 2P Property Risk Mitigation Scheme terms provide for the properties to be recategorised to a Category 3 buyout – even where the exceedance is only minor.

“This would…increase total programme costs, by up to an estimated $14 million, which would be significantly above the agreed co-funded budget.”

Damage from the Auckland Anniversary Weekend floods, from top left: Derek Judge’s Swanson home was flooded by the rapidly rising Waimoko Stream; houses in Swanson sit abandoned and vandalised in November; Andrew Marshall’s red-stricken house in Swanson is still being hit by vandals a year on from the floods; Julie Armstrong’s Northcote home was badly damaged by the flood waters. RNZ and supplied

Instead, Stocks and Howell recommend almost doubling what could be spent on building works to reduce risk to those homes – a cost that could mostly be soaked up within the scheme, leaving council with an estimated $1.2m to pay.

“Staff recommend that the Governing Body approve a policy change for the Category 2P Property Risk Mitigation Scheme to allow for grants of up to 40 percent of property capital value, at the sole discretion of the council in cases where it is assessed as the best option to achieve the 2P scheme objective and outcomes,” they said.

“This will remove the need to operate on a case-by-case ‘by exception’ approach and will remove the option for homeowners to choose to move to Category 3, even where there is a feasible mitigation for their property.”

If it was agreed to, any of the 13 homeowners who preferred a buyout would need to ask for a special circumstances review.

“Owners may be reluctant participants, with a preference to move to Category 3 buy-out due to reasons outside the scheme’s objectives (such as risks of nuisance flooding, potential lower property valuation and reduced development potential under Plan Change 120),” the report writers said.

Damage from the Auckland Anniversary Weekend floods, from top left: Derek Judge’s Swanson home was flooded by the rapidly rising Waimoko Stream; houses in Swanson sit abandoned and vandalised in November; Andrew Marshall’s red-stricken house in Swanson is still being hit by vandals a year on from the floods; Julie Armstrong’s Northcote home was badly damaged by the flood waters. RNZ and supplied

Tasha Gray is part of the Disaster Affected Residents Network, formerly known as the Auckland Stickered Residents Group, and is concerned about the proposed change to the scheme.

“There’s a real awareness that 2P [homeowners] are becoming more reluctant to go over that 25 percent [grant limit for building works] because they’re more aware of the risks for their property after this whole process has gone through.”

She said it had already been a long wait for homeowners.

“The implications for those people could be quite serious, there’s a lot of mental stress for people who are in this process. This is nearly three years of absolute pain and trying to be logical and work through council processes,” Gray said.

“To put this late change in the mix is increadibly distressing for those homeowners.”

Nina Mardell is also a member of the network and said it appeared to be a financial exercise.

“It feels unfair that they’ve got to the end of the process three years down the track and not everybody is being treated equally. I do understand that they’re running out of money but the people at the end are disadvantaged because the pot of money has run out.”

Waitakere ward councillor Shane Henderson said he had asked for more information ahead of the council meeting.

“I’ve been told that probaby the majority of people in that situation would prefer to be bought out because you’ve got insurance issues, you’ve got the trauma layered on top of that whenever there’s a heavy rain.

“There’s people out there who just want to get out of their homes and I totally understand that.

“The proposal is brought about by the financial constraints of the scheme

“We’ll have to find some new money if we don’t make this change, it’s not apparent where that will come from yet. The flipside is people are desperate to move on so it’s a very hard decision.”

Council’s group recovery manager, Mace Ward (File photo). RNZ / Cole Eastham-Farrelly

Council’s group recovery manager, Mace Ward, said the cost of work on properties to reduce such risk had varied and until now, council had used discretion case-by-case, which was provided for in the scheme.

“But over time, we’ve seen more homeowners prefer a buyout instead of wanting to complete the mitigation work at their property,” he said.

“With many of the Category 2P properties still finalising mitigation design and costs, there is risk that properties shift unnecessarily into Category 3, which increases the overall cost.”

Ward said the proposed change to the scheme provided a clearer path to resolving the remaining Category 2P cases in a reasonable and safe timeframe – council would have full discretion to approve grants of up to 40 percent of a property’s capital value.

“This will keep us focused on the best overall solution to address intolerable risk to life as soon as we can, while using public funding carefully,” Ward said.

“We will continue to work closely with Category 2P homeowners through the process.”

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National mission to launch sovereign satellite kept under wraps by officials

Source: Radio New Zealand

author:phil_pennington]

New Zealand, viewed from space. NASA/Goddard/NPP

Most of the work being done on a national mission to launch a sovereign satellite is being kept under wraps by officials.

An RNZ request under the Official Information Act (OIA) for the key documents came up mostly empty, with ministerial briefings either largely blanked out or withheld entirely.

The government’s 2024 aerospace strategy set a goal to “establish a national mission through the development, manufacture, launch and operation of one or more sovereign satellites”.

This was to collect data for the likes of protecting ocean zones and for “broader space domain awareness”. Tracking what is happening in space has become huge business, both commercially and militarily, worldwide.

Seven briefings were withheld and two briefings from last year were released though with large parts blanked out.

One in February put a sovereign satellite project under “higher-impact medium-term actions”, stating that a national space mission “is an opportunity to support the development of innovative products for future commercialisation and export”.

A later briefing in August left in just one line, “Develop our sovereign space capabilities with a national space mission” and redacted the rest.

New Zealand, including its defence force, relied on partners particularly in the Five Eyes intelligence network and notably the United States for access to space capabilities, including a network of US-run military satellites. Only a few ground-based assets like radars were operated within this country.

Australia in 2024 cancelled a multi-billion-dollar programme to create a military-grade satellite communications system, though it was reported last year to be trying again with a more slimmed-down project.

The NZ strategy sat behind a government push to double the advanced aerospace sector to $5 billion by 2030. It underlined how satellites were essential for daily life.

But the new OIA response from the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) shed no light on how any such sovereign satellite might be acquired.

Even the titles of three of the seven withheld briefings were not released; all of it held back on the grounds of protecting confidential advice from ministers or officials.

The title of one that was given, from last July, was, ‘Programme approach to a national space mission’, but the document itself was not released.

In a section of one of the two released briefings on improving trade access, all but this line was blanked out: “Increasing protectionism and the sensitive nature of dual-use technologies means there are barriers to international space trade.”

Dual-use tech could be used for both commercial and military purposes, such as satellite imagery gathered by commercial satellites over Ukraine and used to fight Russia.

The briefings sketched out other options for retiring Defence and Space Minister Judith Collins to push for growth, including that the government could consider buying locally if it needed space-enabled data or services. MBIE was expected to do a stocktake to identify gaps where the government could buy space services to fill data gaps.

The Minister for Social Development and Employment, Louise Upston, agreed to cross-portfolio work to look at barriers to developing an aerospace workforce.

“Existing initiatives, such as the Space Prizes and the Space Scholarship, bring profile to space career options – but will likely not be sufficient to spur largescale workforce growth,” said a briefing.

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