Why Fletcher Building is selling its construction division to French giant Vinci

Source: Radio New Zealand

Six months after announcing a potential sale was on the cards, Fletcher Building revealed on Tuesday that a binding agreement had been reached, and its construction division would be sold to French giant Vinci.

The market reaction was generally positive — for years the construction division had been problematic for Fletcher Building, and the source of some high-profile cost blowouts and delays.

Fletcher Building is set to receive $316 million from the sale (potentially rising to $334m), which includes Brian Perry Civil, Higgins and Fletcher Construction Major Projects, but excludes its South Pacific operations.

Generate Wealth investment specialist Greg Smith said the sale was “broadly positive”.

“They’re exiting a structurally low-margin, high-risk construction business that you could arguably say has destroyed value for more than a decade,” he said.

“It’s really only consumed capital over the past 10-15 years, it’s absorbed cash, and it’s generated write-downs and volatility.”

Smith said the construction arm delivered some large projects that had left some “nasty surprises”, notably the NZ International Convention Centre.

In a note, Forsyth Barr senior analyst Rohan Koreman-Smith acknowledged the construction division’s troubles, and also viewed the sale as a positive.

“The construction division has been a significant drag of FBU’s cash flow, with major cost overruns in several key projects (including the NZ International Convention Centre) resulting in $1.6bn of significant items over the last decade,” he said.

Craigs Investment Partners investment director Mark Lister said Fletcher was receiving a “good price” for the business.

“More importantly, it’s the right strategic move,” he said. “It will help the company pay down debt and that needs to come down a little bit further.”

Lister said it moved Fletcher a step closer to resuming dividend payments, while sorting out its balance sheet.

The industry impact

Smith said the arrival of Vinci would mean a new player with the ability to scale in the New Zealand construction market.

“[They are] possibly one that has a more sophisticated approach to pricing projects and pricing risks, and, of course, deeper pockets as well,” he said.

“They will be a very attractive bidder potentially for a number of projects that many players would be interested in bidding for … including the Warkworth to Te Hana expressway.”

Lister did not think there would be any obvious impact on the industry.

“It’s not going to be a negative, we don’t lose this player, it will just change ownership,” he said.

“[Vinci is] a very global business … and it’s listed on the Paris stock exchange, so this is a big company that knows what they’re doing.”

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

NPD–Gull merger plan lands at Commerce Commission

Source: Radio New Zealand

The companies announced their proposed merger late last year. RNZ / Dan Cook

The Commerce Commission says it has received an application from discount fuel retailers NPD and Gull to merge their national operations.

The merger would create a network of 240 fuel stations, making it the third-largest behind Z Energy and BP.

The companies announced their proposed merger on Christmas Day, saying each site would retain its distinctive brand – Gull sites are most common in the North Island, and NPD in the South Island.

The South Island-based Sheridan family would own 50 percent of the merged company, with Barry Sheridan, the current NPD owner and chief executive, set to become group CEO.

Australian private equity firm Allegro Funds, which owns Gull, would hold the remaining 50 percent.

The Commission said it will only grant clearance if it is satisfied the merger will not substantially lessen competition in the New Zealand market, either now or in the future.

It said it’s investigation of the proposed merger is at a preliminary stage based on the material that it has received from both companies, but other issues could yet emerge as its investigation progresses.

Interested parties have until 3 February 2026 to submit comments on the proposed merger.

The Commission has set a 16th March 2026 deadline to either approve, or decline the merger.

The Automobile Association believed a proposed merger between two fuel companies should drive down pump prices.

AA principal policy advisor Terry Collins had previously said both companies had a low-cost business model.

“What that means is that the savings are passed onto customers. When Gull first arrived with that model in New Zealand it became known as the Gull effect because it dropped the prices and competitors had to match it,” he said.

“Now you’ve got two strong companies with a similar model seeking to merge their business and utilise their assets a lot more efficiently. If they do that, then we’ll obviously see lower prices as they pass them on, but how much savings they can make and pass on is yet to be seen.”

Collins believed merging would be a smart business move for both companies.

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After 21 months of pain, services sector finally turns the corner

Source: Radio New Zealand

123rf

  • Services sector expanded in December
  • PSI survey posts best result since February 2024
  • New orders, sales and inventories rise; employment still falling
  • Proportion of negative comments falls for fourth consecutive month.

Services sector activity leapt higher in December, expanding for the first time in nearly two years and raising hopes the worst of the economic downturn may have passed.

The BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) jumped 4.3 points to 51.5 in December, although it remained below its long‑term average of 52.8.

A reading above 50 indicates the sector, which accounts for nearly three‑quarters of the economy, is expanding.

The sector had not been in expansion since February 2024.

BusinessNZ chief executive Katherine Rich said the December result ended the longest run of contraction in the survey’s history, stretching to 21 months.

Three of the five sub‑indices expanded, led by new orders/business (52.5), which reversed four consecutive months of contraction.

This was followed by activity/sales (52.2) and stocks/inventories (51.9).

Employment (49.6) improved sharply but remained in slight contraction.

The proportion of negative comments fell to 50.4 percent as respondents continued to feel constrained by weak demand and confidence, high living and operating costs, and Christmas‑related shutdowns.

On the flip side, positive comments pointed to seasonal Christmas and summer demand, improving consumer confidence driven by lower interest rates, stronger tourism, new contracts and bookings, and early signs of broader economic recovery and investment activity.

BNZ senior economist Doug Steel was cautiously upbeat, noting the PSI was not strong when viewed in isolation, but the direction of travel was encouraging.

Combined with other recent data, he said, the picture became considerably more positive.

“When the PSI is joined with the large jump in last week’s PMI, the combined index (PCI) signals firmly positive GDP growth into the end of 2025 and establishes forward momentum heading into the new year.”

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How AI might help you do your supermarket shopping

Source: Radio New Zealand

123RF

Artificial intelligence could soon be helping you get your supermarket shopping done, but one AI expert is warning consumers to be wary of the potential trade-off.

Woolworths said it was working towards launching a new tool in partnership with Google.

It will use Google’s Gemini Enterprise AI to transform its chatbot, Olive, into a “shopping companion”.

It said Google and Woolworths would collaborate on the development of a “bespoke” version of the new AI tool over the coming months to customise it to Woolworths’ customers’ needs.

It would use insights collected by Olive over the past seven years.

There was no set timeline for the launch in New Zealand but Woolworths said Olive would eventually be able to help customers create weekly meal plans based on their preferences, identify specials and swaps to help shoppers stick to a budget, and act as a personal assistant when someone was shopping for a special occasion.

But Shahper Richter, a senior lecturer in marketing at the University of Auckland who has studied virtual worlds and genAI, said there were some points shoppers should be careful about.

“It’s classed as consumer convenience, but then you have to think who are they giving this data to?

“Are we going to have different brands asking to insert their brand or their products as a preference? If you always buy the same dishwashing liquid and then next time maybe a brand will start saying ‘oh can you suggest this to these types of consumers’ and you’ll end up always getting suggested their brand as opposed to your normal brand or cheaper brands.

“You just have to think who does it actually help, this kind of convenience?”

She said if AI was producing a ready made shopping basket for people, they were less likely to make changes to it than if products were being suggested individually, as is currently the case through Woolworths’ rewards boosts.

“If it gives you a pre-made basket because you said you wanted to make chicken tacos this week … Here’s everything you’re not going to go through and go, ‘oh, well, I don’t get this brand of tacos. I get another brand’ and so on.”

She said people often grew used to technological improvements and started to rely on them.

“When Google Maps was introduced, like suddenly everyone’s just forgotten how to get somewhere without it. .. I remember being like in the 90s, having map books and you’d really have to flip pages and think, OK, it’s the second road on the right and the left. And now you just you’re just on autopilot. Google Maps will just take me. And sometimes it takes you in weird directions. But you’re like, oh, well, it just knows better.

“Maybe Olive will become like that … we’ll think ‘maybe Olive knows something that we don’t’.

“I think we’re already being primed to accept things like that with some of what Woolworths already do, like with these rewards programs and the boosting it’s already kind of heading towards this. This just feels like another step and then another step.

“I think when they start rolling out this agentic Olive, they’ll just introduce something that looks very innocuous and very helpful … ‘based on your past five shops, you always got this. Do you want to get it again?’ And they already do that on online shopping. This will just be, oh, look, we’ve already added it to your basket. You can take it out.

“I think it won’t be now you have agentic doing everything … I think will be rolled out so slowly that we won’t even really notice it.”

Amanda Bardwell, chief executive and managing director for the Woolworths Group, said it would be a practical innovation that was “about us doing the heavy lifting for you, making shopping that little bit easier to give you time back in your day”.

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Fletcher Building to sell construction arm to Vinci

Source: Radio New Zealand

Fletcher Building headquarters in Auckland. Fletcher Building

  • Fletcher Construction to be sold for $315.6m, potentially rising to $334.1m
  • Sale includes Higgins, Brian Perry Civil and Fletcher Construction Major Projects
  • The deal is subject to regulatory approvals.

Fletcher Building has reached a binding agreement to sell its construction division to major international firm Vinci Construction.

The initial sale price was $315.6 million, but could rise to just over $334m depending on the outcome of key contract negotiations.

The sale of Fletcher Construction Holdings included its New Zealand business units, Higgins, Brian Perry Civil and Fletcher Construction Major Projects.

“Over the past year, we have been clear that Fletcher Building’s future lies in being a focused building products manufacturer and distributor, supported by a strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation,” Fletcher Building chief executive Andrew Reding said.

“The sale of Fletcher Construction is a significant step forward in delivering that strategy, while continuing the work underway to simplify the portfolio, lower debt and improve shareholder returns,” he said.

Reding was confident the sale to Vinci would be the right transaction for shareholders, Fletcher Construction itself and the broader New Zealand construction industry.

“I believe Fletcher Construction will find a strong home with Vinci, whose strengths are well aligned with the business, and which has a proven track record of successfully delivering major infrastructure projects globally.”

The deal was subject to regulatory approvals, including from the Overseas Investment Office and the Commerce Commission.

Fletcher Building also expected to set aside $55-$65m for probable future claims relating to legacy construction contracts retained following the divestment.

However, it did not include any allowances for potential legal liability relating to the NZ International Convention Centre project.

The decision to sell Fletcher Construction followed a strategic review of the wider Fletcher Building business in 2025.

“Following our strategic review in 2025, we received strong inbound interest for the construction business,” Reding said.

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Concern ‘ghost houses’ will turn Queenstown into trainwreck

Source: Radio New Zealand

A former World Bank senior economist says people buying holiday homes and leaving them empty in Queenstown for much of the year are on track to “hollow out” the town, unless authorities take strong action to build more affordable housing for workers.

Data suggests, at any given time, more than a quarter of the district’s properties are unoccupied.

On Census night 2023, there were 3480 empty dwellings and 3402 listed as ‘residents away’, compared with 18,219 properties occupied or under construction.

At the same time, the cost of renting or buying a house has risen sharply, and more than 1600 households have joined a waitlist for an affordable housing scheme.

Ralph Hanan, who has lived in Queenstown for nearly two decades and spent 29 years at the World Bank, said the number of empty houses would likely increase in coming years.

He told RNZ councils and the government could not compel people to rent their properties out.

“If these ‘ghost houses’ were available, of course, that means that the money that went into new developments for new housing could be spent somewhere else for a more productive enterprise within our economy,” he said.

Housing development in Queenstown. RNZ / Nate McKinnon

“I think it’s a real long shot to expect people who have a house here to open it up for 9-10 months of the year to whomsoever to come and live. It’s not good economics, but it’s reality.”

Hanan said urgent structural changes were needed to ensure Queenstown remained a viable place to live and work, including affordable housing for local workers.

A town increasingly owned from afar

Little data is available on exactly who owns Queenstown’s “ghost houses”, but property maintenance companies told RNZ they had noticed a major shift in the market.

Peak to Peak Property Services director Matthew Kurtovich said about 60 percent of his clients either rented out their homes as short-term accommodation or kept them empty, except for the “one or two weeks a year” they visited.

“We’ve had a huge shift to absentee owners,” he said. “The business was predominantly built over locals and providing service for locals, but as the places change and become a lot more holiday destination, there’s a lot more investment properties around and a lot more apartment complexes that we deal with.

“It’s definitely a change of scope for the business in the last 10 years.”

In recent years, several other maintenance businesses had emerged, catering specifically for absentee owners – offering to pay bills, clean gutters, keep cars WOF-compliant and even stock fridges for people who lived away from Queenstown.

Those companies declined to speak to RNZ.

Low-rental yields discouraging landlords

Some Queenstown propertyowners would rather let their homes gather dust than rent them out, a property investment specialist said, because rental income lagged far behind soaring property values.

Peak to Peak Property Services director Matthew Kurtovich said about 60 percent of his clients either rented out their homes as short-term accommodation or kept them empty between visits. RNZ / Nate McKinnon

Despite Queenstown rentals being among the most expensive and under-demand in the country, Opes Partners managing partner Andrew Nicol said property owners did not have much to gain from long-term tenants.

“It is really expensive to own a property there,” he said. “The yields are just disproportionately low at the moment.

“I don’t know that they’ll catch up any time soon. I’ve seen yields as low as three percent for people that are buying investment properties.”

Nicol said healthy-homes requirements and tenancy rules introduced by the previous Labour government – even those later repealed – had pushed some landlords off the long-term market.

Meanwhile, people could only rent out a house as a short-term rental – for example, an Airbnb – for a maximum of 90 days without resource consent.

“Because of the restrictions around tenancies – healthy homes and not being able to give a nine-day termination – there were a lot of properties taken off the market,” he said. “If you were really rich and you had no debt, and it was just a bit of a hassle, [you might think], ‘Well, I’ll rent it out for the 90 days I’m allowed to and then I’ll have it empty the rest of the year’.

“Or, ‘I’ll just have it empty [all the time]’. There are some people like that.”

However, he said that was slowly changing, with more rentals coming back online in Queenstown, after the re-introduction of no-fault evictions and other measures designed to give landlords more confidence.

On the other hand, it was becoming more costly to use houses for short-term accommodation, Nicol said.

“I know a lot of people have made some really good money, but the cost of cleaning, for example, has gone up quite significantly in Queenstown and the Airbnb fees have gone up. There’s further GST implications now.

“You can make some really good money, but there are just significant costs that go with that as well.”

Capital gains tax could make a difference – mayor

Mayor John Glover said many of Queenstown’s ghost houses were legitimate holiday houses bought by people who intended to visit or move down eventually.

“A lot of people, even in New Zealand, they’re cashed out,” he said. “They’re maybe retiring, they want to move down, or have the opportunity to come and have their holidays here.

“We live in a free market economy.”

Yet empty houses were a “fundamental” problem in Queenstown and in Wānaka, he said.

Queenstown Mayor John Glover. RNZ/ Katie Todd

“There’s a place for holiday homes all over the world and tourism hotspots, it’s always the case,” Glover said. “Elsewhere in the world, various interventions come along, such as local ownership clauses on new developments, that try to address the fact that there are far more people with money than the people trying to live and work here.”

He said a capital gains tax on second homes might lead to fewer ghost houses, although he framed that as a broader governmental debate.

Personally, he would be prepared to pay a capital gains tax, if it meant more services for the town.

“I think, if we want to have some of the things in this country that we aspire to, we need to look at how we get the revenue to do that,” Glover said. “I’m constantly told by people, if you go to Sweden, you get free education, the public transport is cheaper, there’s all sorts of benefits, health services, and they’ll have 75 percent top tax rates, they’ll have capital gains tax, they’ll have inheritance tax.

“The issue is we don’t have those in this country.”

In the meantime, Glover said he was focused on ensuring Queenstown had a good supply of rental stock.

He said Simplicity’s plan to build up to 600 long-term rental houses on Ladies Mile would help.

Glover would also like to see the Queenstown Lakes Community Housing Trust scaled up, potentially by requiring developers to contribute to it.

“We’re trying to twist the arm of government and make the case that, when landowners get a significant zoning uplift and so they go from farm paddocks to housing estates, then maybe we get to capture some of the value of that.”

Pressure on the workforce

Ralph Hanan said he’d like to see 10 percent of the properties at each new housing development set aside for the housing trust’s affordable schemes.

Without action, he warned, workers would be pushed out of the town and more houses would sit empty in the centre.

“If we don’t do more to retain these people, they’re going to move out of our area,” Hanan said. “They may move to dormitory suburbs like Cromwell, which is already the case, or the south of Lake Wakatipu and Kingston, which is already being developed.

“They will move out of our Queenstown City urban area pretty soon and that is not good for any city.”

“Ultimately, if you’re looking 50 years down the track, I suppose Queenstown is heading to become to become a trainwreck. It will be a place that will be less attractive for foreigners to want to come to and less attractive for people to want to live in.

“We have to avoid that. We’ve got to have structural change to make sure that we are a balanced, caring community, including all types of workers, diversity of people and diversity of our economy.”

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Westpac survey shows New Zealanders are starting the year with financial stress

Source: Radio New Zealand

The fall of interest rates has done little to ease the financial stress many New Zealanders are experiencing RNZ

Many New Zealanders are starting the year feeling stressed about money despite interest rates having fallen, one bank says.

Westpac surveyed just over 1000 of its customers and found 28 percent said their holiday spending would probably or definitely cause financial stress in the new year. Another 23 percent thought it might.

Just under 20 percent said they planned to use debt to cover their costs. Just under three-quarters said they were very or moderately concerned about the cost of living.

Westpac managing director of product sustainability and marketing Sarah Hearn said there had been an increase in the number of people applying for debt consolidation loans as well as increases in the amounts they were asking for.

“While we have seen a reduction in interest rates over the last year it’s clear that people and our customers are still feel very much the cost of living and the pressure of finances is present still.

“At this time of the year, though, we would tend to see in the coming months more debt consolidation going on as people look to kind of get their finances in order and simplify the debt that they may have into the one.”

Almost a quarter said additional costs in January and February added pressure, including annual bills and the cost of sending kids back to school.

“A really high portion of people said that they’d be expecting more financial pressure at this time of the year.

“One in four people pointed out that it’s the annual bills that would be coming through, life insurance and paying off summer holidays, but it’s also the additional expenses like children going back to school. paying off the summer holiday. So some of those incidental expenses that you typically see more in January, school uniforms, books, laptops, all those sorts of things, there’s a real spike. So that puts additional pressure on top of what is already a cost of living pressure that people are feeling.”

Hearn said people were sometimes consolidating by now pay later debt, or credit card and personal loans.

If the problem was bigger than debt consolidation could fix, she said people should speak to their banks to work out what options could be available.

Loan Market mortgage adviser Bruce Patten said he was dealing with more people who wanted to top-up their mortgages to clear other debt.

“With the current market conditions there are a lot of people getting top ups to consolidate debt due to the cost of living pressures, so car or boat finance is being extended over a longer period under mortgages to provide some relief.”

This can mean lower repayments in the short term but cost more overall if the loan term is extended and people end up carrying the debt for longer.

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Kiwis smashing it abroad: The best thing that happened to Christopher Yu was being made redundant

Source: Radio New Zealand

Across borders and industries, New Zealanders are carving out space, building influence and exporting creativity. In this series, RNZ speaks to Kiwis making their mark abroad, those coming home, and those living somewhere in between.

Before Christopher Yu became the co-founder of prestige fragrance houses Colour & Stripe and Ostens — whose clients include the Kardashians and Cate Blanchett — he helped build then-unknown French brand Diptyque into a global name.

Seven years after selling the business, Yu was still fielding calls from fashion royalty: Tom Ford, Karl Lagerfeld and Gucci, all asking for scented candles.

Christopher Yu.

Supplied

Want to smell like Donald Trump?

But he didn’t always know he’d end up working in luxury fragrance. At 24, Yu followed his friends from Lower Hutt to London with plans to become a tax lawyer. Instead, redundancy — and what he describes as “a very generous cheque” — set him on an entirely different course.

While working part-time at a luxury department store in preparation to return home, he met Laurent Delafon, the founder of Diptyque, who had come in seeking a meeting about stocking his products. Yu, “being Kiwi”, asked to see the candles first.

“I always say to people, the best thing that happened in my career was being made redundant,” Yu told Afternoons.

By the end of a single coffee-break conversation, Yu had invested his redundancy cheque into what would become one of the defining niche fragrance brands to emerge from France.

Unsplash / Stephanie Klepacki

“I felt a shift. I felt like, ‘why do I like this candle, this perfume in front of me? I don’t know anything about this, but I’m excited. I’ve not felt excited like this for tax law or banking’,” he says.

“Did I know that it would end up being my lifelong purpose and passion and what I was good at? Absolutely not at the time.”

The luxury fragrance world, Yu notes, is “very homogenised” — but arriving as a Chinese-New Zealander with a thick Kiwi accent and no established lineage may have been an advantage, he says.

“What they remembered was the fact that I was very Kiwi in that I was always asking questions and I was always very curious about what they were doing in a way that Kiwis aren’t perceived as a threat.”

This video is hosted on Vimeo.

Over the years, the job delivered its share of celebrity encounters: Annie Lennox singing just centimetres away while he rang up her purchase; personally delivering every fragrance in every size to Elton John as a gift from Sharleen Spiteri. Yet the these are the moments that stay with him.

“The real ‘pinch me’ moment was the first time I went to Grasse for the harvest and when they pick the roses, et cetera, whatever is in season and getting up super early and being alone for a moment in this field, as all the workers started to assemble and smelling everything and feeling that morning dew at the same time…

“In some ways, they kind of echo the experiences that I had growing up in New Zealand…

“I think your own individual ‘pinch me’ moments are the ones that you connect with – they’ll be different for everybody. And we can sit here and tell celebrity stories, which are funny, but ultimately, it’s those moments that I just will never forget.”

The realisation that he has spent nearly as much time in Britain as in New Zealand shook him to the core, he says. So he’s coming back, “desperately clinging on to my Kiwiness”.

While Yu hasn’t worked extensively in New Zealand, and some have warned him about the tough economic climate, he’s optimistic.

“I’m also really passionate about cultivating a space where, where people who haven’t quite yet entered the industry of luxury or fragrance or whatever and encouraging them and building something in New Zealand, because I think we’re so well resourced.”

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KiwiSaver or your house – which is likely to give better investment returns?

Source: Radio New Zealand

Other investments have been outperforming housing in recent years. (File photo) Unsplash/ Li Rezaei

Your KiwiSaver might have given you a better return than your house over the past 10 years, and experts say the same is probably true of the next 10.

Realestate.co.nz spokesperson Vanessa Williams said while people were often told house prices doubled every 10 years, that had not been the case in the decade since 2015 based on the site’s asking prices.

Between 2015 and 2025 New Zealand’s national average asking price increased by 55.1 percent, from $556,931 to $863,747.

Auckland experienced a 23.5 percent increase as average asking prices rose from $846,730 in 2015 to $1,045,328 in 2025.

By comparison, the NZX50 lifted 4.92 percent a year over the past 10 years on price alone, or 57.67 percent. Bitcoin rose 50,000 percent. Gold lifted more than 270 percent.

Morningstar said that in the 10 years to September, aggressive KiwiSaver funds as a group had returned an annualised 9.7 percent a year or a cumulative roughly 150 percent.

University of Auckland finance expert Gertjan Verdickt said it was not surprising to see other investments outperforming housing.

“If you look at the real returns of housing over the long term, after adjusting for taxes, quality… the return is positive but very low.

“On average, over the last few centuries, that return is around 2 percent to 3 percent per year. That is not bad but it’s definitely not as good as other asset classes, such as equities and bonds.

“The correlation with the equity market is also relatively large, so it offers modest diversification opportunities. Thus, housing is not a bad asset to have per se, but it’s generally overemphasised as ‘the holy grail’.”

Kernel Wealth founder Dean Anderson said shares had consistently outperformed property investment over long periods.

“That is not an unusual trend. It is actually almost an expected trend over the long term.”

A key difference for many investors is that they can borrow to invest in houses in a way that is generally not possible with other assets.

“The difference is obviously borrowing, but that is a double-edged sword,” Anderson said.

“And the leverage that comes from that can be quite negative, as some have experienced in recent years if there is a downturn. So I think the biggest warning for most investors It’s not just the mindset of thinking that property doubles every 10 years, but I think we’ve also started to realise that property is also not just a guaranteed bet.”

He said different regions, suburbs and types of houses could also perform differently.

“It is actually still common for property values to fall. which I think is the more important awareness now.

“Not only have we assumed that property doubles every seven to 10 years, we’ve also typically had this mindset of thinking that it also only goes up.”

Anderson said KiwiSaver was many people’s biggest asset outside their homes. It would not be unreasonable for someone in a growth fund to get better returns from that than their property, he said.

“I think it’s going to be really interesting to see the appeal of property from an investment perspective going forward as KiwiSaver balances get bigger, as people become more aware of other things they can invest in – not just property, but in shares, in digital assets, and that the returns of those other assets have been as strong or stronger… I think we’re becoming more educated.”

He said there would also be a wealth transfer over the next ten years as older generations sold their investments.

“New Zealand has a disproportionately large amount of our wealth, particularly by baby boomers and others, tied up in residential profit investment. Now, a lot of those holders of property, either to fund retirement or, as part of, inheritance wealth transfer. are potentially going to be looking to sell those assets. And you’ve got a lot of people now into that retirement stage where the rental income and costs maybe not funding the lifestyle that they need and are slowly liquidating some of those assets.

“So I suspect that we’ll actually see an increase in supply over the next 10 years, not only from growth of new builds, but also the vast majority of current holders looking to realise a return from those properties and create liquid cash flow.”

He said that could help avoid the sorts of surges in house prices seen in past decades.

Realestate.co.nz said some parts of the country did double in price over 10 years. Gisborne was up 145.5 percent, Manawatu-Whanganui 121.5 percent and the central North Island up 119.2 percent.

Cotality chief property economist Kelvin Davidson said the idea of doubling each decade had always been quite general. “Even during boom phases, depending on which particular 10-year period you choose, there might not have necessarily been 100 percent growth.”

He said it was not “magic” and had to be driven by underlying factors. Interest rates trending down, a relatively favourable tax system, tight land supply and a shift to two-income households had all pushed prices up. These factors were likely to have less impact in future, he said,

“It looks like the tax rules will change at some point, I don’t know when, I don’t know what they might be, but there is a growing appetite for a tax system that’s perhaps a little bit less favorable for property, you know, obviously capital gains tax is on the radar right now, but there could be other things as well.”

Government moves to free up land could also help keep prices lower, he said.

“Whatever you think is the natural growth rate, historically it’s probably been 6 or 7 percent over the long run, I think there’s every reason why that would be lower in future, maybe four or five. House prices will still double if you give them long enough but that period of time will be longer than it’s been in the past.”

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand

How much value could a granny flat add to your property?

Source: Radio New Zealand

Consents are no longer needed for a granny flat. (File photo) 123rf

Consents are no longer needed to build a granny flat – but how much does it add to a property’s value?

The rule change took effect last week, updating the Building Act and adding a new national direction under the Resource Management Act.

These remove the need for a building consent and a resource consent for small standalone dwellings up to 70 square metres in size.

Associate finance minister Shane Jones said it could save up to $5650 in direct costs for people building a granny flat and speed up the process by up to 14 weeks.

Ed McKnight, economist at property investment firm Opes Partners, said a flat would add value to a property, but potentially not as much as other work might.

“They don’t work like a bathroom renovation where you spend $10,000 and it increases the value of the house by $20,000, for example.

“Instead, a granny flat tends to add the value you spent on it. So broadly speaking if you spend $120,000 on a granny flat, it might increase the value of your property by around $120,000. That’s because while you can add building, the main unit also misses out on that land.”

But he said they would appeal to some investors.

“Property investors still often build granny flats or minor dwellings because you can get an extra rental return. You might rent the granny flat out for $500 a week, but it only cost $200,000 to build. That’s a solid rental return on that extra spend. Because you already paid for the land. You don’t need to buy it again.

Ed McKnight is an economist at property investment firm Opes Partners. (File photo) Supplied / Ed McKnight

“When it comes to selling the properties a granny flat can limit who your potential buyers are. While some cultures tend to value multi-generational living, many other home buyers just want a single-family home. So the granny flat isn’t a drawcard for all buyers.”

Property investor Nick Gentle said the key for investors would be being able to rent the properties separately.

Property investment coach Steve Goodey said the rule change was helpful, but not as transformational as the government might have made it seem.

“There are still massive costs with getting water and power connected and so I think it will be of somewhat limited value to most investors.”

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– Published by EveningReport.nz and AsiaPacificReport.nz, see: MIL OSI in partnership with Radio New Zealand